Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.040687 0.044037 0.047562 0.051552 0.055950 0.060657 0.066084
2025-03-09 0.034956 0.039618 0.044801 0.051012 0.058283 0.066562 0.076753
2025-03-16 0.030826 0.036144 0.042301 0.050006 0.059453 0.070743 0.085384
2025-03-23 0.028005 0.033742 0.040608 0.049508 0.060847 0.074962 0.094097
2025-03-30 0.025780 0.031778 0.039159 0.049016 0.061999 0.078743 0.102351
2025-04-06 0.023720 0.029808 0.037479 0.047992 0.062241 0.081199 0.108875
2025-04-13 0.022599 0.028927 0.037084 0.048545 0.064517 0.086429 0.119544
2025-04-20 0.021416 0.027863 0.036341 0.048521 0.065929 0.090483 0.128793
2025-04-27 0.020607 0.027231 0.036113 0.049149 0.068244 0.095924 0.140501
2025-05-04 0.019583 0.026233 0.035300 0.048864 0.069171 0.099337 0.149331
2025-05-11 0.018693 0.025362 0.034601 0.048674 0.070184 0.102898 0.158639
2025-05-18 0.017842 0.024494 0.033848 0.048337 0.070918 0.106033 0.167470
2025-05-25 0.017135 0.023804 0.033322 0.048316 0.072156 0.110083 0.178281
2025-06-01 0.016287 0.022864 0.032377 0.047591 0.072216 0.112208 0.185935
2025-06-08 0.015439 0.021883 0.031315 0.046613 0.071784 0.113456 0.192098
2025-06-15 0.014786 0.021161 0.030606 0.046143 0.072141 0.116035 0.200898
2025-06-22 0.014185 0.020487 0.029935 0.045688 0.072477 0.118578 0.209833
2025-06-29 0.013510 0.019671 0.029001 0.044746 0.071910 0.119457 0.215596
2025-07-06 0.013213 0.019425 0.028949 0.045254 0.073877 0.125027 0.231176
2025-07-13 0.012817 0.019005 0.028597 0.045232 0.074896 0.128910 0.243701
2025-07-20 0.012571 0.018812 0.028600 0.045810 0.077019 0.135012 0.261493
2025-07-27 0.012167 0.018347 0.028135 0.045548 0.077580 0.138142 0.273205
2025-08-03 0.011803 0.017932 0.027733 0.045373 0.078284 0.141590 0.285963